The Telegraph
8 December 2023
More in Common analysis based on voting intentions shows that the Conservatives are on course to secure 35 fewer seats than if Reform did not exist. If it did not exist, the Tories would win 265 constituencies across England and Wales, almost certainly depriving Labour of a majority and creating a hung parliament.
Luke Tryl, director of More in Common, said Red Wall voters who delivered Boris Johnson’s landslide made up most of Reform’s new support.