3 June 2024
Labour 'set for biggest majority in 23 years', analysis suggests
The analysis has been published by the research company More in Common together with The News Agents podcast, and is based on voting intention data collected between April 9 and May 29 from 15,089 adults in Great Britain.
Luke Tryl, More in Common UK executive director, said: “While many things could change between now and July 4, Labour is on course to win a comfortable majority, with the most Labour gains in a single election since 1945, nearly doubling their seat count compared to 2019."
3 June 2024
Another Blow For Rishi Sunak As Two Polls Show Tories Are Heading For Election Disaster
Although the More in Common poll was more positive for the Conservatives, it still suggested Labour are heading for a thumping victory.
It put Labour on 382 seats, with the Tories on 180, the SNP on 35 and the Lib Dems on 30.
If replicated on July 4, that would give Labour a majority of 114.
Luke Tryl, executive director of More in Common UK, said: “While many things could change between now and July 4, Labour is on course to win a comfortable majority, with the most Labour gains in a single election since 1945, nearly doubling their seat count compared to 2019.
“The Conservatives on the other hand are forecast to enter opposition holding only marginally more seats than they did after the 1997 landslide, suggesting a steep path to recovery.”
3 June 2024
More in Common's MRP survey of more than 15,000 people suggests that the Conservatives will win just 180 seats, less than half the number Boris Johnson won in 2019.
Labour is predicted to win 382 seats, almost doubling the total achieved by Jeremy Corbyn.
1 June 2024
Whitby Woman: the latest target voter should prepare to be wooed
At each general election, there is a voter elevated above the others. At the 1992 election, it was “Mondeo Man”, an aspirational working-class homeowner, worried about taxes and a key demographic for both Labour and the Conservatives. Come 1997, Tony Blair coveted the vote of “Worcester Woman”, a well-to-do working class mother residing in marginal West Midlands seats. Our research suggests that “Whitby Woman” will play an outsized role in shaping the result when the country goes to the polls this time.
1 June 2024
Labour's long war inflicts Starmer's first campaign stumble
One focus group conducted by the polling group More in Common on Thursday night reported the issue was raised unprompted by members of the public thinking about who to choose.
One voter switching from Conservative to Labour said: “I worry if I was going to change from one party to another, would I trust somebody that's basically stabbing their own party member in the back?”
1 June 2024
More in Common, who coined the Whitby Woman term, believe that the group could play a crucial role in deciding whether Labour wins by a landslide or is limited to a small majority or even a hung parliament.
The group overwhelmingly voted Tory in 2019 but are disenchanted with the party and may stay at home this election.
According to More in Common, 82 per cent of women in the group oppose the policy, with only 5 per cent supportive.